Editing 2440: Epistemic Uncertainty

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:[In both panels Megan stands in front of a data presentation on a slide behind her. She is pointing at the slide with a stick.]
 
:[In both panels Megan stands in front of a data presentation on a slide behind her. She is pointing at the slide with a stick.]
  
:[In the left panel titled 'Regular Uncertainty'. Megan standing in front of a presentation of a graph showing, from top to bottom, the number 74%, a horizontal line with a small black diamond near the middle representing an average with error bars, and a line of dots representing data in a horizontal scatter plot.]
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:[In the left panel titled 'Regular Uncertainty'. Megan standing in front of a presentation of a graph showing data in a horizontal scatter plot, and above that the percentage 74% depicted with horizontal error bars.]
 
:Megan: Our study found the drug was 74% effective, with a confidence interval from 63% to 81%.
 
:Megan: Our study found the drug was 74% effective, with a confidence interval from 63% to 81%.
 
:74%
 
:74%
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:Megan: Our study found the drug to be 74% effective.  
 
:Megan: Our study found the drug to be 74% effective.  
 
:Megan: However, there is a 1 in 4 chance that our study was modified by George the Data Tamperer, whose whims are unpredictable.  
 
:Megan: However, there is a 1 in 4 chance that our study was modified by George the Data Tamperer, whose whims are unpredictable.  
:73 -> 74??
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:73 -> 74%??
:47 -> 74??
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:47 -> 74%??
:0 -> 74??
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:0 -> 74%?
 
:?
 
:?
  

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