Difference between revisions of "2624: Voyager Wires"

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(Explanation)
({{citation needed}})
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The primary explanation, above, takes the position that this comic is ridiculously wrong.{{citation needed}}  But the insertion of several "citation needed" links suggests that the explanation's position is weak.{{citation needed}}
 
The primary explanation, above, takes the position that this comic is ridiculously wrong.{{citation needed}}  But the insertion of several "citation needed" links suggests that the explanation's position is weak.{{citation needed}}
  
The comic's author, Randall Munroe,{{citation needed}} is well attested as a competent scientist,{{citation needed}} for example see the citations in the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Randall_Munroe Wikipedia Randall Munroe page].  His books, cited in that same Wikipedia article,{{citation needed}} offer well-researched easy to understand discussions of science and of everyday phenomena.{{citation needed}}  Trust him.{{citation needed}}
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The{{citation needed}} comic's{{citation needed}} author,{{citation needed}} Randall{{citation needed}} Munroe,{{citation needed}} is{{citation needed}} well{{citation needed}} attested{{citation needed}} as{{citation needed}} a{{citation needed}} competent{{citation needed}} scientist,{{citation needed}} for{{citation needed}} example{{citation needed}} see{{citation needed}} the{{citation needed}} citations{{citation needed}} in{{citation needed}} the{{citation needed}} [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Randall_Munroe Wikipedia{{citation needed}} Randall{{citation needed}} Munroe{{citation needed}} page].{{citation needed}} His{{citation needed}} books,{{citation needed}} cited{{citation needed}} in{{citation needed}} that{{citation needed}} same{{citation needed}} Wikipedia{{citation needed}} article,{{citation needed}} offer{{citation needed}} well-{{citation needed}}researched{{citation needed}} easy{{citation needed}} to{{citation needed}} understand{{citation needed}} discussions{{citation needed}} of{{citation needed}} science{{citation needed}} and{{citation needed}} of{{citation needed}} everyday{{citation needed}} phenomena.{{citation needed}}  Trust{{citation needed}} him.{{citation needed}}
  
 
(For completeness, see another Wikipedia article, [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disinformation Disinformation].  In its subsection ''Strategies for spreading disinformation'', strategy number 4 is "Directly Sharing Disinformation".{{citation needed}}  That is mentioned here only because the top header at the xkcd web site states it is a webcomic of romance, '''sarcasm,''' math, and language.){{citation needed}}
 
(For completeness, see another Wikipedia article, [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disinformation Disinformation].  In its subsection ''Strategies for spreading disinformation'', strategy number 4 is "Directly Sharing Disinformation".{{citation needed}}  That is mentioned here only because the top header at the xkcd web site states it is a webcomic of romance, '''sarcasm,''' math, and language.){{citation needed}}

Revision as of 22:25, 25 May 2022

Voyager Wires
Also, they're getting increasingly worried that someone will accidentally hit the 'retract' button, and that the end of the cable thrashing around as it winds up could devastate the Earth's surface.
Title text: Also, they're getting increasingly worried that someone will accidentally hit the 'retract' button, and that the end of the cable thrashing around as it winds up could devastate the Earth's surface.

Explanation

Ambox notice.png This explanation may be incomplete or incorrect: Created by a WIRE CUT BECAUSE OF BUDG- are you there houston? it's me v----ger, you'll never guess what I found! Please change this comment when editing this page. Do NOT delete this tag too soon.
If you can address this issue, please edit the page! Thanks.

This comic claims that the Voyager probes communicate with NASA though ridiculously long copper wires, when in reality they use radio waves.[citation needed] These wires would have to be continuously lengthened as the probes travel away from Earth. Supposedly, because of "high copper prices and budget constraints," they may not be able to afford to lengthen the wires much longer. If this occurred, they would have to either cut the wires or let them break, which would prevent any further communication with the probes. As mentioned earlier, however, they actually use radio waves, not long copper wires, so this will not actually happen.

If copper wires were dragged by the Voyager probes, 550 tons of copper would be needed per hour if the cable was 1mm² thick and it would add 1 million Ohm per hour to the cable resistance.

The resulting wire would slow down the probes by drag, but be perfect space elevators for lightweight spacecraft. Of course, since the Earth spins, the wires would also spool around the Earth, slowing the probes down even further. Clearly, this is not a good idea.[citation needed]

This doesn't even factor in how the Earth, in its rotation around the sun, will drag these copper wires in a circular orbit leading the wires through the sun at least once per year. The difference between the melting point of copper and the average core temperature of the sun has not yet been established by reproducible experiment, but is believed to be incompatible with the high quality required for signal transmission.

The consequence of a cable between a craft in space and a planetary location being suddenly retracted was recently demonstrated in the first episode of the Apple TV series Foundation. It didn't end well for anyone.

When this comic was releaseed, few days ago NASA had reported to have received corrupted position data from Voyager probe.

Alternate Explanation

When Randall Munroe states that Voyager 1 and 2 are cabled to the Earth by copper wires, his assertion deserves serious consideration.[citation needed]

The primary explanation, above, takes the position that this comic is ridiculously wrong.[citation needed] But the insertion of several "citation needed" links suggests that the explanation's position is weak.[citation needed]

The[citation needed] comic's[citation needed] author,[citation needed] Randall[citation needed] Munroe,[citation needed] is[citation needed] well[citation needed] attested[citation needed] as[citation needed] a[citation needed] competent[citation needed] scientist,[citation needed] for[citation needed] example[citation needed] see[citation needed] the[citation needed] citations[citation needed] in[citation needed] the[citation needed] Wikipedia[citation needed] Randall[citation needed] Munroe[citation needed] page.[citation needed] His[citation needed] books,[citation needed] cited[citation needed] in[citation needed] that[citation needed] same[citation needed] Wikipedia[citation needed] article,[citation needed] offer[citation needed] well-[citation needed]researched[citation needed] easy[citation needed] to[citation needed] understand[citation needed] discussions[citation needed] of[citation needed] science[citation needed] and[citation needed] of[citation needed] everyday[citation needed] phenomena.[citation needed] Trust[citation needed] him.[citation needed]

(For completeness, see another Wikipedia article, Disinformation. In its subsection Strategies for spreading disinformation, strategy number 4 is "Directly Sharing Disinformation".[citation needed] That is mentioned here only because the top header at the xkcd web site states it is a webcomic of romance, sarcasm, math, and language.)[citation needed]

Transcript

Ambox notice.png This transcript is incomplete. Please help editing it! Thanks.

[There is an image of a space probe, presumably one of NASA's Voyager probes, with a long wire connecting it to a ball, presumably earth. To the left, there is a second wire, which goes offscreen. Below, there is a caption.]

Caption: "Sad news: Due to high copper prices and budget constraints, NASA may finally have to cut the wires that they've been spooling out to communicate with Voyager 1 and 2."

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Discussion

This is fun - assuming a pair of 14ga wires were run the 14.5 billion mile distance from Earth to Voyager 1, the mass of copper would be on the order of 1012 kg, or ~5 times the mass of copper ever mined out of the earth. 172.70.126.87 17:18, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Wow, that's a lot of copper! I wonder how they've been communicating with the probes up until now? :) Danny E. Corchado (talk) 20:46, 25 May 2022 (UTC)
Why are you assuming 14 gauge when 30 gauge (0.08mm diameter) is for sale? Only 3,440 Ohms per kilometer! 172.68.133.89 00:02, 26 May 2022 (UTC)

At current prices for copper, this spool would cost ~9.6 trillion dollars. Surprisingly, that's only about a third of the US national debt. --KrazyKat (talk) 17:29, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Hear me out here: if all the high school dropouts are employed making space probe wire, where are the health insurance companies going to be able to get people who will deny coverage against attending physicians' recommendations? Eh? See what I'm getting at?!? 172.68.133.89 00:04, 26 May 2022 (UTC)

The problem of the Earth spinning could be solved by putting the contact at one of the poles; it will have to be on a swivel joint to prevent it from twisting. But there's also the Earth revolving around the Sun, which requires the cable length to cycle up and down by 186 million miles every year. I guess we could use a big version of dog leash holders. Barmar (talk) 17:44, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Days before this comic was published, NASA reported issues with Voyager 1, reporting that "the probe’s attitude articulation and control system (AACS) don’t reflect what’s actually happening onboard" [1]

"the data may appear to be randomly generated, or does not reflect any possible state the AACS could be in"
Has anyone alerted the SETI Institute? They live for this kind of thing. 172.68.133.89 00:08, 26 May 2022 (UTC)

If they used wires and it was due to budget constraints, why not reel the Voyager probes back in and recycle the wire? 108.162.245.173 19:24, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Only if you feel a tug, then tell your friend to get the net ready. 172.68.133.89 00:09, 26 May 2022 (UTC)

Quick calc+google - world copper reserves are estimated at 870 million tonnes, Voyager 1 is 14,471,238,963 miles from Earth (Voyager 2 a bit closer, 12 x 10^9 miles)... a lot of unit conversions and simple arithmetics later... World copper reserves would be enough for a cable with about 4 mm^2 cross-section (2,3 mm diameter) for one of them or 2.3 mm^2 cross-section (1,7 mm diameter) cables to both. Someone check the math please, it's been a long day... 172.68.110.139 19:31, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

This is a comic worth a What-If-article. Even with zero friction extraction systems and enough available copper, there is the problem of the speed you need to send out new wire. Voyager is moving at ca. 17 km/s and Earth moves at about 30. So when Earth and Voyager move in opposite directions you have to produce *a lot* of wire per second in order to keep up with that (not exactly 47 km/s because Voyager is moving away from the ecliptic. Kimmerin (talk) 19:53, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Yes, definitely worth a What If! Randall, if you read this, please write a What If article on this! Danny E. Corchado (talk) 20:47, 25 May 2022 (UTC)
Maybe this is a sly advertisement for an existing article in the forthcoming book! :) 172.70.34.105 21:24, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Voyager 1 and 2 communicate with each other, or with Earth? --172.70.126.65 20:27, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

The comic clearly shows the wire going all the way from a Voyager to Earth. Barmar (talk) 22:00, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

The explanation mentions the wire going through the Sun when we're on opposite sides of the Sun. But the Voyagers aren't traveling in the ecliptic plane, so it will probably miss the Sun. Although it still might be close enough that the heat will melt it. Barmar (talk) 22:00, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

While this isn't a problem now, it would have been one during the first three years of its mission where the probe traveled from planet to planet. See e.g. https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Datei:Voyager_1_Scaled_Track_de.svg for the track of Voyager I.Kimmerin (talk) 07:10, 27 May 2022 (UTC)

Is the whole joke of the "Alternate explanation" that they went overboard with the [citation needed]s? Barmar (talk) 22:00, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Removed this section. 172.69.33.117 23:15, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Theoretically speaking, if the copper spool were to be anchored at the North or South Pole, it would avoid issues of wraparound. 172.70.35.70 23:02, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

Now you just have to work out what happens as the conductor moves (around, but also feeds out through) the geomagnetic field. (See Electrodynamic tether, not sure if it would help or not to be anchored directly upon the maximum declanation point of the geomagnetic pole, which isn't quite at the axial pole for the purposes of rotation-mitigation 172.70.85.177 23:44, 25 May 2022 (UTC)

What about the Star Trek reference in the Title Text? That's definitely referring to the VGER probe that returned to Earth after being elevated to an AI. 172.70.91.90 06:39, 26 May 2022 (UTC)

I don’t think many other people use the word “definitely” in that way.172.70.210.125 19:58, 26 May 2022 (UTC)

172.70.218.225 10:27, 26 May 2022 (UTC)anyone wanting to calculating the resistance and power requirements for current data transfer rates to Voyager through a copper wire?

Quite funny how people focus on how this could actually work... Pole anchor, on a plane, not hitting sun, when the tensile strength of the Cu wire has not even been mentioned... :-D --Kynde (talk) 13:49, 26 May 2022 (UTC)

It looks like the suggested plan is to keep a lot of slack on the line. 172.70.210.233 02:56, 27 May 2022 (UTC)
that is what the comic is portraying, though. A lot of slack so we can cut it some--FrankHightower (talk) 17:28, 29 May 2022 (UTC)