Editing 678: Researcher Translation

{{comic
| number    = 678
| date      = December 21, 2009
| title     = Researcher Translation
| image     = researcher_translation.png
| titletext = A technology that is &#39;20 years away&#39; will be 20 years away indefinitely.
}}

==Explanation==
This comic suggests a translation from the statements of the researcher of a potential new technology. These statements might be found in, for example, an article in a popular science magazine which highlights some cutting-edge research. It reflects the idea that researchers tend to be too optimistic about the future of their research project.

"The fourth quarter of next year": Even if a technological development seems very close to completion, it could still be canceled by some authority other than the lead researcher. This might be due to poor management, or a poor business plan, or even a poor scientific basis which the researcher is hiding or ignoring.

"Five years": The researcher has solved the interesting scientific problems, and assumes that the concept could be picked up by a business, developed to be useable outside of a research lab, designed into a prototype, have a manufacturing process, marketed, and made available to consumers, in only five years. In reality, a lot of exciting-sounding technology may not reach consumers for many years because of difficulties in the business side of things.

"Ten years": Not only does the researcher assume that the business end of things will go smoothly, he also assumes that the rest of his research will go smoothly. In reality, a lot of unforeseen problems could arise during research.

"25+ years": The researcher further assumes that this technological application is scientifically possible.

"We're not really looking at market applications right now.": In contrast to the above chain of assumptions, in this case the researcher has a working technology but wants to keep it to himself.

Alt-text: "20 years away indefinitely": Sometimes the technological or engineering challenges for a certain application seem like they could be overcome in 20 years, but in reality the challenges are very difficult. The more the challenges are studied, the harder they are found to be, although there is always hope that a few more advances will do it. An example is {{w|fusion power}}, which has been conceptualized since at least 1946 as a potentially unlimited source of clean energy, but remains an elusive achievement despite projects such as the {{w|National Ignition Facility}} and {{w|ITER}}.

==Transcript==
:(A table showing two columns. The left column is labeled &quot;If a researcher says a cool new technology should be available to consumers in...&quot;, and the right column is labeled &quot;What they mean is...&quot;)
:[The fourth quarter of next year - The project will be canceled in six months.]
:[Five years - I&#39;ve solved the interesting research problems. The rest is just business, which is easy, right?]
:[Ten years - We haven&#39;t finished inventing it yet, but when we do, it&#39;ll be awesome.]
:[25+ years - It has not been conclusively proven impossible.]
:[We&#39;re not really looking at market applications right now. - I like being the only one with a hovercar.]

{{comic discussion}}
@@ Line 4: / Line 4: @@
 | title     = Researcher Translation
 | image     = researcher_translation.png
-| titletext = A technology that is '20 years away' will be 20 years away indefinitely.
+| titletext = A technology that is &#39;20 years away&#39; will be 20 years away indefinitely.
 }}
 ==Explanation==
-This comic suggests a translation from the statements of the researcher of a potential new {{w|technology}}. For example, these statements might be found in an article in a popular science magazine which highlights some cutting-edge research. It reflects the idea that researchers tend to be too optimistic about the future of their research project.
+This comic suggests a translation from the statements of the researcher of a potential new technology. These statements might be found in, for example, an article in a popular science magazine which highlights some cutting-edge research. It reflects the idea that researchers tend to be too optimistic about the future of their research project.
 "The fourth quarter of next year": Even if a technological development seems very close to completion, it could still be canceled by some authority other than the lead researcher. This might be due to poor management, or a poor business plan, or even a poor scientific basis which the researcher is hiding or ignoring.
-"Five years": The researcher has solved the interesting scientific problems, and assumes that the concept could be picked up by a business, developed to be usable outside of a research lab, designed into a prototype, have a manufacturing process, marketed, and made available to consumers, in only five years. In reality, a lot of exciting-sounding technology may not reach consumers for many years because of difficulties in the business side of things.
+"Five years": The researcher has solved the interesting scientific problems, and assumes that the concept could be picked up by a business, developed to be useable outside of a research lab, designed into a prototype, have a manufacturing process, marketed, and made available to consumers, in only five years. In reality, a lot of exciting-sounding technology may not reach consumers for many years because of difficulties in the business side of things.
-"Ten years": Not only does the researcher assume that the business end of things will go smoothly, they also assume that the rest of their research will go smoothly. In reality, a lot of unforeseen problems could arise during research.
+"Ten years": Not only does the researcher assume that the business end of things will go smoothly, he also assumes that the rest of his research will go smoothly. In reality, a lot of unforeseen problems could arise during research.
-"25+ years": "It has not been conclusively proven impossible" indicates that it has been proven impossible in some context. The researcher simply refuses to accept the impossibility until the proof is conclusive.
+"25+ years": The researcher further assumes that this technological application is scientifically possible.
-"We're not really looking at market applications right now.": In contrast to the above chain of assumptions, in this case the researcher has a working technology but wants to keep it to themselves.
+"We're not really looking at market applications right now.": In contrast to the above chain of assumptions, in this case the researcher has a working technology but wants to keep it to himself.
-Title text: "20 years away indefinitely": Sometimes the technological or engineering challenges for a certain application seem like they could be overcome in 20 years, but in reality the challenges are very difficult. The more the challenges are studied, the harder they are found to be, although there is always hope that a few more advances will do it. An example is {{w|fusion power}}, which has been conceptualized since at least 1946 as a potentially unlimited source of clean energy, but remained an elusive achievement despite projects such as the {{w|National Ignition Facility}} and {{w|ITER}}. The first commercial plant is still indefinitely 20 years away.
+Alt-text: "20 years away indefinitely": Sometimes the technological or engineering challenges for a certain application seem like they could be overcome in 20 years, but in reality the challenges are very difficult. The more the challenges are studied, the harder they are found to be, although there is always hope that a few more advances will do it. An example is {{w|fusion power}}, which has been conceptualized since at least 1946 as a potentially unlimited source of clean energy, but remains an elusive achievement despite projects such as the {{w|National Ignition Facility}} and {{w|ITER}}.
-A similar table was shown in [[1497: New Products]].
 ==Transcript==
-:{| class="wikitable"
+:(A table showing two columns. The left column is labeled &quot;If a researcher says a cool new technology should be available to consumers in...&quot;, and the right column is labeled &quot;What they mean is...&quot;)
-!If a researcher says a cool<br>new technology should be<br>available to consumers in...
+:[The fourth quarter of next year - The project will be canceled in six months.]
-!What they mean is...
+:[Five years - I&#39;ve solved the interesting research problems. The rest is just business, which is easy, right?]
-|-
+:[Ten years - We haven&#39;t finished inventing it yet, but when we do, it&#39;ll be awesome.]
-|The fourth quarter<br>of next year
+:[25+ years - It has not been conclusively proven impossible.]
-|The project will be<br>canceled in six months.
+:[We&#39;re not really looking at market applications right now. - I like being the only one with a hovercar.]
-|-
-|Five years
-|I've solved the interesting<br>research problems. The rest is<br>just business, which is easy, right?
-|-
-|Ten years
-|We haven't finished inventing it<br>yet, but when we do, it'll be awesome.
-|-
-|25+ years
-|It has not been conclusively<br>proven impossible.
-|-
-|We're not really<br>looking at market<br>applications right now.
-|I like being the only<br>one with a hovercar.
-|}
 {{comic discussion}}
-[[Category:Charts]]
-[[Category:Scientific research]]