Editing Talk:1236: Seashell

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This formula is the correct way to state Bayes' theorem but the formula says nothing about the events.  It's a tautology.  Any events can be used and it's still true.  Might as well have just put A and B in there for all we learn from it.  The only exception is that division by zero must be avoided.  I'm not sure the original formula was "wrong" since it was about particular events. [[User:Db|db]] ([[User talk:Db|talk]]) 06:24, 17 November 2013 (UTC)
 
This formula is the correct way to state Bayes' theorem but the formula says nothing about the events.  It's a tautology.  Any events can be used and it's still true.  Might as well have just put A and B in there for all we learn from it.  The only exception is that division by zero must be avoided.  I'm not sure the original formula was "wrong" since it was about particular events. [[User:Db|db]] ([[User talk:Db|talk]]) 06:24, 17 November 2013 (UTC)
 
Pedants would insist the probability of hearing an ocean is slight as high Beaufort numbers are fairly rare. However since storm waves do travel across oceans virtually unimpeded and are generally large enough to form surf near the shoreline, you may be able to hear the surf (especially at high tide.)
 
 
However if the tide is low enough for you to find sea shells you may be too far from a berm to hear surf. I can't remember if surf is produced at a bar.[[User:Weatherlawyer| I used Google News BEFORE it was clickbait]] ([[User talk:Weatherlawyer|talk]]) 19:36, 10 January 2015 (UTC)
 

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