Editing 1132: Frequentists vs. Bayesians
Warning: You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you log in or create an account, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.
The edit can be undone.
Please check the comparison below to verify that this is what you want to do, and then save the changes below to finish undoing the edit.
Latest revision | Your text | ||
Line 44: | Line 44: | ||
==Transcript== | ==Transcript== | ||
− | : | + | :Did the sun just explode? (It's night, so we're not sure) |
− | |||
− | |||
− | :[Two | + | :[Two statisticians stand alongside an adorable little computer that is suspiciously similar to K-9 that speaks in Westminster typeface.] |
:Frequentist Statistician: This neutrino detector measures whether the sun has gone nova. | :Frequentist Statistician: This neutrino detector measures whether the sun has gone nova. | ||
:Bayesian Statistician: Then, it rolls two dice. If they both come up as six, it lies to us. Otherwise, it tells the truth. | :Bayesian Statistician: Then, it rolls two dice. If they both come up as six, it lies to us. Otherwise, it tells the truth. | ||
− | :Frequentist Statistician: Let's try. | + | :Frequentist Statistician: Let's try. [to the detector] Detector! Has the sun gone nova? |
− | : | + | :Detector: ''roll'' YES. |
− | |||
− | |||
:Frequentist Statistician: | :Frequentist Statistician: | ||
:Frequentist Statistician: The probability of this result happening by chance is 1/36=0.027. Since p<0.05, I conclude that the sun has exploded. | :Frequentist Statistician: The probability of this result happening by chance is 1/36=0.027. Since p<0.05, I conclude that the sun has exploded. |