Editing 2379: Probability Comparisons
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==Explanation== | ==Explanation== | ||
− | + | {{incomplete|Created by LEBRON JAMES THROWING M&Ms AT A KEYBOARD. The table for the explanations of the chances isn't complete, nor is the transcript. Do NOT delete this tag too soon.}} | |
− | + | This is a list of probabilities for different events. There are numerous recurring themes, of which the most common are free throws (13 entries), birthdays (12), dice (12, split about evenly between d6 and d20 types), M&M candies (11), playing cards (9), NBA basketball mid-game victory predictions (9), Scrabble tiles (7), coins (7), white Christmases (7), and the NBA players Stephen Curry and LeBron James (7 each). | |
− | The title text refers to the song "{{w|Call Me Maybe}}" by | + | Themes are variously repeated and combined, for humorous effect. For instance, there are entries for both the probability that St. Louis will have a white Christmas (21%) and that it will not (79%). Also given is the 40% probability that a random Scrabble tile will contain a letter from the name "Steph Curry". |
+ | |||
+ | There are 80 items in the list, the last two of which devolve into absurdity - perhaps from the stress of preparing the other 78 entries. | ||
+ | |||
+ | The list may be an attempt to better understand probabilistic election forecasts for the {{w|2020 United States presidential election}} which was four days away at the time this comic was published, and had also been alluded to in [[2370: Prediction]] and [[2371: Election Screen Time]]. Statistician and psephologist {{w|Nate Silver}} is referenced in one of the list items. On the date this cartoon was published, Nate Silver's website FiveThirtyEight.com was publishing forecast probabilities of Donald Trump and Joe Biden winning the US Presidential election. [[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/]]. On 31 October 2020, the forecast described the chances of Donald Trump winning as "roughly the same as the chance that it’s raining in downtown Los Angeles. It does rain there. (Downtown L.A. has about 36 rainy days per year, or about a 1-in-10 shot of a rainy day.)" A day previously, when the chances were 12%, the website had also described Trump's chances of winning as "slightly less than a six sided die rolling a 1". | ||
+ | |||
+ | The probabilities are calculated from [https://xkcd.com/2379/sources/ these sources], as mentioned in the bottom left corner. | ||
+ | |||
+ | The title text refers to the song "{{w|Call Me Maybe}}" by Carly Rae Jepsen (cited twice in the list). "MAYBE" is emphasized, perhaps because the probability of getting her phone number correct, as in the last item in the list, is very low. The capitalization could also be a reference to Scrabble tiles, as was previously mentioned in association with Carly Rae Jepsen. | ||
==Table== | ==Table== | ||
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| 0.01% | | 0.01% | ||
| You guess the last four digits of someone's {{w|Social Security Number}} on the first try | | You guess the last four digits of someone's {{w|Social Security Number}} on the first try | ||
− | | There are | + | | There are 10 digits in a {{w|Social Security Number}}, but the last four are commonly used as an identity verification factor. (1/10)<sup>4</sup> = 0.0001, or 0.01% |
|- | |- | ||
| 0.1% | | 0.1% | ||
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|- | |- | ||
| You draw 3 random {{w|M&Ms}} and they're all red | | You draw 3 random {{w|M&Ms}} and they're all red | ||
− | | | + | | According to Randall's source, the proportion of reds is 13%.<ref>M&Ms color proportion<br/>13% red<br/>13% brown<br/>14% yellow<br/>16% green<br/>20% orange<br/>24% blue</ref> 0.13³ ≈ 0.22%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 0.3% | | 0.3% | ||
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| rowspan="2" | 0.5% | | rowspan="2" | 0.5% | ||
| An {{w|NBA}} team down by 30 at halftime wins | | An {{w|NBA}} team down by 30 at halftime wins | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| You get 4 M&Ms and they're all brown or yellow | | You get 4 M&Ms and they're all brown or yellow | ||
− | | Depending on the source of one's M&Ms in the U.S., the proportion of them that is brown or yellow is either 0.25 or 0.259 . 0.25<sup>4</sup>≈ 0.39%; 0.259<sup>4</sup> ≈ 0.45 | + | | Depending on the source of one's M&Ms in the U.S., the proportion of them that is brown or yellow is either 0.25 or 0.259 . 0.25<sup>4</sup>≈ 0.39%; 0.259<sup>4</sup> ≈ 0.45% . |
|- | |- | ||
| rowspan="2" | 1% | | rowspan="2" | 1% | ||
| {{w|Steph Curry}} gets two free throws and misses both | | {{w|Steph Curry}} gets two free throws and misses both | ||
− | | Curry is a 91% career free throw shooter, so the percentage of missing 1 | + | | Curry is a 91% career free throw shooter, so the percentage of missing 1 FT is about 9%. The chance of missing 2 FTs is about 0.8% ≈ 1%. |
|- | |- | ||
− | | {{w|LeBron James}} guesses your birthday, if each guess costs one free throw and he loses if he misses | + | |{{w|LeBron James}} guesses your birthday, if each guess costs one free throw and he loses if he misses |
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| rowspan="2" | 1.5% | | rowspan="2" | 1.5% | ||
| You get two M&Ms and they're both red | | You get two M&Ms and they're both red | ||
− | | | + | | According to Randall's sources, the probability of a red M&M is about 13%, so the probability of 2 M&Ms being red is (13%)² ≈ 1.69%. |
|- | |- | ||
| You share a birthday with a {{w|Backstreet Boys|Backstreet Boy}} | | You share a birthday with a {{w|Backstreet Boys|Backstreet Boy}} | ||
− | |Each of the five Backstreet Boys has a different birthday, so the odds that you share a birthday with one is 5/365 ≈ 1.3% . | + | |Each of the five Backstreet Boys has a different birthday, so the odds that you share a birthday with one is 5/365.25 ≈ 1.3% . |
|- | |- | ||
| 2% | | 2% | ||
| You guess someone's card on the first try | | You guess someone's card on the first try | ||
− | | There are 52 cards in a normal deck of cards (excluding jokers), so the probability is 1/52, which is approximately 1.9%. | + | | There are 52 cards in a normal deck of cards (excluding jokers), so the probability is 1/52, which is approximately 0.019 (1.9%). |
|- | |- | ||
| rowspan="2"| 3% | | rowspan="2"| 3% | ||
| You guess 5 coin tosses and get them all right | | You guess 5 coin tosses and get them all right | ||
− | | The chance of correctly predicting a coin toss is 0.5 | + | | The chance of correctly predicting a coin toss is 0.5. The chance of predicting 5 in a row is 0.5<sup>5</sup>, or 3.125%. |
|- | |- | ||
| Steph Curry wins that birthday free throw game | | Steph Curry wins that birthday free throw game | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| rowspan="3"| 4% | | rowspan="3"| 4% | ||
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|- | |- | ||
| You share a birthday with two {{w|US Senator}}s | | You share a birthday with two {{w|US Senator}}s | ||
− | | At the time this comic was published, | + | | At the time this comic was published, 9 days were birthdays for more than one Senator.<ref>Rand Paul (R-KY) and John Thune (R-SD) were both born January 7.<br> |
− | + | Patrick Leahy (D-VT) and Angus King (I-MN) were both born March 31.<br> | |
− | + | Jim Risch (R-ID), Ron Wyden (D-OR) and David Vitter (R-LA) were all born May 3.<br> | |
− | + | Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) were both born June 22.<br> | |
− | Angus King | + | Bob Corker (R-TN) and Joe Manchin (D-WV) were both born August 24. <br> |
− | Jim Risch | + | Bill Nelson (D-FL) and Joe Donnelly (D-IA) were both born September 29. <br> |
− | Dianne Feinstein and Elizabeth Warren - June 22<br | + | Mike Rounds (R-SD) and Jeff Merkley (D-OR) were both born October 24. <br> |
− | + | Pat Toomey (R-PA) and Jim Inhofe (R-OK) were both born November 17. <br> | |
− | + | John Boozman (R-AR) and David Perdue (R-GA) were both born December 10.</ref> | |
− | Jeff Merkley | ||
− | |||
− | |||
− | |||
− | John Boozman and David Perdue - December 10 | ||
− | |||
− | |||
− | </ref> | ||
|- | |- | ||
| rowspan="2"| 5% | | rowspan="2"| 5% | ||
| An NBA team down 20 at halftime wins | | An NBA team down 20 at halftime wins | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| You roll a natural 20 | | You roll a natural 20 | ||
− | | A natural 20 indicates a critical hit in the {{w|Dungeons & Dragons}} role playing game. "Natural" means that it is the number showing when rolling a d20 (a 20-sided die), as opposed to an overall total of 20 when counting the die roll plus modifiers. There are twenty sides to a d20 die | + | | A natural 20 indicates a critical hit in the {{w|Dungeons & Dragons}} role playing game. "Natural" means that it is the number showing when rolling a d20 (a 20-sided die), as opposed to an overall total of 20 when counting the die roll plus modifiers. There are twenty sides to a d20 die. 1/20 = 0.05 = 5% |
|- | |- | ||
| 6% | | 6% | ||
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| 7% | | 7% | ||
| LeBron James gets two free throws and misses both | | LeBron James gets two free throws and misses both | ||
− | | James' career | + | | James' career FT percentage is 73%, so the probability of a miss is 27%. The probability of 2 misses is (27%)², which is about 7%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 8% | | 8% | ||
| You correctly guess someone's card given 4 tries | | You correctly guess someone's card given 4 tries | ||
− | | Assuming you guess four different cards, 4/52 = 0.0769 ≈ 8 | + | | Assuming you guess four different cards, 4/52 = 0.0769 ≈ 8% . |
|- | |- | ||
| 9% | | 9% | ||
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| rowspan="2"|10% | | rowspan="2"|10% | ||
| You draw 5 cards and get the Ace of Spades | | You draw 5 cards and get the Ace of Spades | ||
− | | There are 52 cards in a normal deck of cards (excluding jokers), and the Ace of Spades is one of them. | + | | There are 52 cards in a normal deck of cards (excluding jokers), and the Ace of Spades is one of them. The chances of getting the card is 1 - 51/52 * 50/51 * 49/50 * 48/49 * 47/48 which is approximately 0.096, which rounds to the given 10%. <!-- make into math format --> |
|- | |- | ||
| There's a {{w|Moment magnitude scale|magnitude}} 8+ earthquake in the next month | | There's a {{w|Moment magnitude scale|magnitude}} 8+ earthquake in the next month | ||
− | | Note that, unlike other earthquake examples, this does not specify where the earthquake occurs | + | | Note that, unlike other earthquake examples, this does not specify where the earthquake occurs. |
|- | |- | ||
| 11% | | 11% | ||
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| rowspan="3"|12% | | rowspan="3"|12% | ||
| A randomly-chosen American lives in {{w|California}} | | A randomly-chosen American lives in {{w|California}} | ||
− | | California is the most populous state in the US. Out of the approximately 328.2 million Americans (as of 2019), 39.51 million live in California. This means that a randomly chosen American has about a 39.51/328.2 ≈ 10.33% | + | | California is the most populous state in the US. Out of the approximately 328.2 million Americans (as of 2019), 39.51 million live in California. This means that a randomly chosen American has about a 39.51/328.2 ≈ 10.33% of living in California. Due to population change and rounding based on different sources, this could be pushed to 12%. |
|- | |- | ||
| You correctly guess someone's card given 6 tries | | You correctly guess someone's card given 6 tries | ||
− | | Assuming you don't repeat previous wrong | + | | Assuming you don't repeat previous wrong guess, the probability is 6/52=3/26 = ~11.54% |
|- | |- | ||
| You share a birthday with a {{w|US President}} | | You share a birthday with a {{w|US President}} | ||
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| rowspan="3"|13% | | rowspan="3"|13% | ||
| A {{w|Dice#Polyhedral_dice|d6}} beats a {{w|Dice#Polyhedral_dice|d20}} | | A {{w|Dice#Polyhedral_dice|d6}} beats a {{w|Dice#Polyhedral_dice|d20}} | ||
− | | The odds of a d6 beating a d20 are (0 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5)/( | + | | The odds of a d6 beating a d20 are (0 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5)/(120) = 0.125 ≈ 13% . |
|- | |- | ||
| An NBA team down 10 going into the 4th quarter wins | | An NBA team down 10 going into the 4th quarter wins | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| You pull one M&M from a bag and it's red | | You pull one M&M from a bag and it's red | ||
− | | | + | | According to Randall's source, the probability of a red M&M is 13%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 14% | | 14% | ||
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| 16% | | 16% | ||
| Steph Curry gets two free throws but makes only one | | Steph Curry gets two free throws but makes only one | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 17% | | 17% | ||
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| 20% | | 20% | ||
| You get a dozen M&Ms and none of them are brown | | You get a dozen M&Ms and none of them are brown | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 21% | | 21% | ||
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| 22% | | 22% | ||
| An NBA team wins when they're down 10 at halftime | | An NBA team wins when they're down 10 at halftime | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| rowspan="2"| 23% | | rowspan="2"| 23% | ||
| You get an M&M and it's blue | | You get an M&M and it's blue | ||
− | | | + | | According to Randall's source, the "test probability" of a blue M&M is 24%. |
|- | |- | ||
| You share a birthday with a US senator | | You share a birthday with a US senator | ||
− | | There are 100 Senators, but | + | | There are 100 Senators, but 19 Senators share 9 birthdays and 81 Senators have unique birthdays, so there are a total of 90 days of the year that are the birthday of a Senator. |
|- | |- | ||
| 24% | | 24% | ||
| You correctly guess that someone was born in the winter | | You correctly guess that someone was born in the winter | ||
− | | | + | | The winter lasts ~24% of the year, so ~24% of birthdays are in the winter. |
|- | |- | ||
| rowspan="2"| 25% | | rowspan="2"| 25% | ||
| You correctly guess that someone was born in the fall | | You correctly guess that someone was born in the fall | ||
− | | | + | | The fall lasts ~25% of the year, so ~25% of birthdays are in the fall. This statement would also have been true for spring. |
|- | |- | ||
| You roll two plain M&Ms and get M and M. | | You roll two plain M&Ms and get M and M. | ||
− | | An M&M can land on one of two sides, one with an M and one without. The odds of "rolling" two Ms is 1/4 = 25%. The term "rolling" is used jokingly in reference to the d6s and d20s above, suggesting that an M&M is a standard d2; this becomes especially true once you consider that a more accurate reference would have been | + | | An M&M can land on one of two sides, one with an M and one without. The odds of "rolling" two Ms is 1/4 = 25%. The term "rolling" is used jokingly in reference to the d6s and d20s above, suggesting that an M&M is a standard d2; this becomes especially true once you consider that a more accurate reference would have been two a coin, not a die. |
|- | |- | ||
| 26% | | 26% | ||
| You correctly guess someone was born in the summer | | You correctly guess someone was born in the summer | ||
− | | | + | | The summer lasts ~26% of the year, so ~26% of birthdays are in the summer. |
|- | |- | ||
| 27% | | 27% | ||
| LeBron James misses a free throw | | LeBron James misses a free throw | ||
− | | James' career | + | | James' career FT percentage is 73%, so the probability of missing is 27%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 32% | | 32% | ||
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| rowspan="3"| 33% | | rowspan="3"| 33% | ||
| A randomly chosen Star Wars movie (Episodes I-IX) has "of the" in the title | | A randomly chosen Star Wars movie (Episodes I-IX) has "of the" in the title | ||
− | | | + | | Episodes II (Attack of the Clones), III (Revenge of the Sith), and VI (Return of the Jedi) are the movies. This gives the odds of 3/9 ≈ 33% . |
|- | |- | ||
| You win the Monty Hall sports car by picking a door and refusing to switch | | You win the Monty Hall sports car by picking a door and refusing to switch | ||
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| 39% | | 39% | ||
| LeBron James gets two free throws but misses one | | LeBron James gets two free throws but misses one | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 40% | | 40% | ||
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| 50% | | 50% | ||
| You get heads in a coin toss | | You get heads in a coin toss | ||
− | | There are two options in a coin toss, heads or tails, so the odds of getting heads is 50% (1/2) | + | | There are two options in a coin toss, heads or tails, so the odds of getting heads is 50% (1/2). |
|- | |- | ||
| 53% | | 53% | ||
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| 54% | | 54% | ||
| LeBron James gets two free throws and makes both | | LeBron James gets two free throws and makes both | ||
− | | James' career | + | | James' career FT percentage is 73%, so the probability of making 2 FT is (73%)² = 53.9%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 58% | | 58% | ||
| A random Scrabble tile is a letter in "Nate Silver" | | A random Scrabble tile is a letter in "Nate Silver" | ||
− | | {{w|Nate Silver}} is a recurring person on xkcd. The odds of a Scrabble tile being in his name are (6 + 9 + 6 + 12 + 4 + 9 + 4 + 2 + 6)/100 = 58% . | + | | {{w|Nate Silver}} is a recurring person on xkcd. The odds of a Scrabble tile being in his name are (6 + 9 + 6 + 12 + 4 + 9 + 4 + 2 + 6)/100 = 58% . |
|- | |- | ||
| 60% | | 60% | ||
| You get two M&Ms and neither is blue | | You get two M&Ms and neither is blue | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 65% | | 65% | ||
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| 73% | | 73% | ||
| LeBron James makes a free throw | | LeBron James makes a free throw | ||
− | | This is James' career | + | | This is James' career FT percentage, 73%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 75% | | 75% | ||
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| 76% | | 76% | ||
| You get two M&Ms and neither is red | | You get two M&Ms and neither is red | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 77% | | 77% | ||
| You get an an M&M and it's not blue | | You get an an M&M and it's not blue | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 78% | | 78% | ||
| An NBA team wins when they're up 10 at halftime | | An NBA team wins when they're up 10 at halftime | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 79% | | 79% | ||
| St. Louis doesn't have a white Christmas | | St. Louis doesn't have a white Christmas | ||
| According to Randall's source, the probability of snow cover in St. Louis is 21%, thus the probability of ''no'' snow cover is 79%. | | According to Randall's source, the probability of snow cover in St. Louis is 21%, thus the probability of ''no'' snow cover is 79%. | ||
+ | |||
|- | |- | ||
| 81% | | 81% | ||
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| 83% | | 83% | ||
| Steph Curry gets two free throws and makes both | | Steph Curry gets two free throws and makes both | ||
− | | Curry's career | + | | Curry's career FT percentage is 91%, so the probability of making 2 FTs is (91%)<sup>2</sup> = 82.81%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 85% | | 85% | ||
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| rowspan="2"| 87% | | rowspan="2"| 87% | ||
| An NBA team up by 10 going into the 4<sup>th</sup> quarter wins | | An NBA team up by 10 going into the 4<sup>th</sup> quarter wins | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| Someone fails to guess your card given 7 tries | | Someone fails to guess your card given 7 tries | ||
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|- | |- | ||
| Steph Curry makes a free throw | | Steph Curry makes a free throw | ||
− | | This is Curry's career | + | | This is Curry's career FT percentage, 91%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 92% | | 92% | ||
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| 93% | | 93% | ||
| Lebron James makes a free throw given two tries | | Lebron James makes a free throw given two tries | ||
− | | James' career | + | | James' career FT percentage is 73%, so the percentage of his making at least 1 FT given 2 tries is 1 - (1-.73)² = 93%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 94% | | 94% | ||
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| 95% | | 95% | ||
| An NBA team wins when they're up 20 at halftime | | An NBA team wins when they're up 20 at halftime | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 96% | | 96% | ||
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| 98.5% | | 98.5% | ||
| An NBA team up 15 points with 8 minutes left wins | | An NBA team up 15 points with 8 minutes left wins | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 99% | | 99% | ||
| Steph Curry makes a free throw given two tries | | Steph Curry makes a free throw given two tries | ||
− | | James' career FT percentage is 91%, so the percentage of his making at least 1 FT given 2 tries is 1 - (1-.91) | + | | James' career FT percentage is 91%, so the percentage of his making at least 1 FT given 2 tries is 1 - (1-.91)² = 99%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 99.5% | | 99.5% | ||
| An NBA team that's up by 30 points at halftime wins | | An NBA team that's up by 30 points at halftime wins | ||
− | | | + | | |
|- | |- | ||
| 99.7% | | 99.7% | ||
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| 99.9% | | 99.9% | ||
| A random group of three people contains a right-hander | | A random group of three people contains a right-hander | ||
− | | About 90% of people are right-handed, so the percentage of at least 1 right-hander in a group of 3 is 1 - (1-.9) | + | | About 90% of people are right-handed, so the percentage of at least 1 right-hander in a group of 3 is 1 - (1-.9)³ = 99.9%. |
|- | |- | ||
| 99.99% | | 99.99% | ||
| You incorrectly guess the last four digits of someone's social security number | | You incorrectly guess the last four digits of someone's social security number | ||
− | | There are | + | | There are 10 digits in a Social Security Number, but the last four are commonly used as an identity verification factor. The odds of this are 1 - (1/10)<sup>4</sup> = 99.99% . |
|- | |- | ||
| 99.9999999999999995% | | 99.9999999999999995% | ||
| You pick up a phone, dial a random 10-digit number, and say 'Hello Barack Obama, there's just been a {{w|Moment magnitude scale|magnitude}} 8 earthquake in {{w|California}}!" and are wrong | | You pick up a phone, dial a random 10-digit number, and say 'Hello Barack Obama, there's just been a {{w|Moment magnitude scale|magnitude}} 8 earthquake in {{w|California}}!" and are wrong | ||
− | | | + | | In order to get this ''right,'' three things, two highly improbable, would have to happen simultaneously. First you would have to guess one of Barack Obama's phone numbers. (In the United States, where Obama lives and has his office, a '10-digit number' consists of a three digit 'area code' (analogous to a city code in international calling) and a 7-digit local number. Although 1 is the country code for the U.S., it is not counted as one of the 10 digits.) A few of the digits ''could'' be worked out logically - for example, by looking up the area code for the city where he lives or has a home or office, but the text specifies that the entire number is random.) Second, you would have to call that number when there has just been a magnitude 8 earthquake in California (the time interval isn't given, however). Third, he would have to answer the call personally (as opposed to letting a cell phone call go to voice mail, or his secretary, wife, etc., answering his office or home phone). |
− | |||
− | First, | ||
− | |||
− | Second, | ||
|- | |- | ||
| 0.00000001% | | 0.00000001% | ||
| You add "Hang on, this is big — I'm going to loop in Carly Rae Jepsen", dial another random 10-digit number, and she picks up | | You add "Hang on, this is big — I'm going to loop in Carly Rae Jepsen", dial another random 10-digit number, and she picks up | ||
− | | | + | | The odds of a random number being hers would be 1 - (1/10)<sup>10</sup> = 0.00000001% if she had only one phone number. However, that is not the probability that "she picks up", because, like Obama, she might either have more than one phone number (increasing the probability) or be letting calls from unknown callers go to voice mail (making the probability zero). |
|} | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | ===References=== | ||
+ | {{#tag:references}} | ||
==Trivia== | ==Trivia== | ||
− | + | In the original comic, "outside" in the 88% probability section is spelled incorrectly as "outide". In addition, the 39% section had "two free throw" instead of "throws". | |
− | |||
− | |||
− | + | The (seemingly unimportant) odds of LeBron James' versus Stephen Curry's free throws and names in Scrabble refer to [[2002: LeBron James and Stephen Curry]]. | |
==Transcript== | ==Transcript== | ||
− | |||
− | |||
<big>Probability Comparisons</big> | <big>Probability Comparisons</big> | ||
− | |||
− | |||
0.01% You guess the last four digits of someone's social security number on the first try | 0.01% You guess the last four digits of someone's social security number on the first try | ||
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35% A random Scrabble tile is one of the letters in "random" | 35% A random Scrabble tile is one of the letters in "random" | ||
− | |||
− | |||
39% LeBron James gets two free throws but misses one | 39% LeBron James gets two free throws but misses one | ||
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0.00000001% You add "Hang on, this is big — I'm going to loop in Carly Rae Jepsen", dial another random 10-digit number, and she picks up | 0.00000001% You add "Hang on, this is big — I'm going to loop in Carly Rae Jepsen", dial another random 10-digit number, and she picks up | ||
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Sources: https://xkcd.com/2379/sources/ | Sources: https://xkcd.com/2379/sources/ | ||
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{{comic discussion}} | {{comic discussion}} |