Difference between revisions of "373: The Data So Far"
(Added further information about evidence of absence) |
|||
| Line 11: | Line 11: | ||
There are often people who claim to have supernatural powers, but then when their powers are tested by some sort of experiment, the experiment refutes their claims. This comic summarizes all the data from such experiments, observing that given the data, it's very unlikely that supernatural powers actually exist. | There are often people who claim to have supernatural powers, but then when their powers are tested by some sort of experiment, the experiment refutes their claims. This comic summarizes all the data from such experiments, observing that given the data, it's very unlikely that supernatural powers actually exist. | ||
| − | The title text refers to a person who has claimed to have | + | The title text refers to a person who has claimed to have supernatural powers, and suggests that he might really have such powers. This invokes the fact that absence of evidence is not the same as evidence of absence, although there has never previously been a confirmed example of a person with superpowers this does not prove that this is certainly impossible. However the graph above suggests that, although not impossible, such an event would be highly unlikely. No matter how much evidence we collect there is always some positive (but vanishingly small) chance, that some person may hold supernatural powers. See also comic [[1122: Electoral Precedent]] for other false rules that appeared to hold only due to an absence of evidence. |
See also comic [[1235: Settled]] for more of Randall's thoughts on hoaxes and unusual claims. | See also comic [[1235: Settled]] for more of Randall's thoughts on hoaxes and unusual claims. | ||
Revision as of 19:13, 9 November 2013
| The Data So Far |
 Title text: But THIS guy, he might be for real! |
Explanation
|
This explanation may be incomplete or incorrect: TV series Supernatural should be mentioned. If you can address this issue, please edit the page! Thanks. |
There are often people who claim to have supernatural powers, but then when their powers are tested by some sort of experiment, the experiment refutes their claims. This comic summarizes all the data from such experiments, observing that given the data, it's very unlikely that supernatural powers actually exist.
The title text refers to a person who has claimed to have supernatural powers, and suggests that he might really have such powers. This invokes the fact that absence of evidence is not the same as evidence of absence, although there has never previously been a confirmed example of a person with superpowers this does not prove that this is certainly impossible. However the graph above suggests that, although not impossible, such an event would be highly unlikely. No matter how much evidence we collect there is always some positive (but vanishingly small) chance, that some person may hold supernatural powers. See also comic 1122: Electoral Precedent for other false rules that appeared to hold only due to an absence of evidence.
See also comic 1235: Settled for more of Randall's thoughts on hoaxes and unusual claims.
Transcript
- [Bar graph titled "Claims of Supernatural Powers" and has two sets of data. The first data set is labeled "Confirmed By Experiment", and is empty. The second data set is "Refuted By Experiment" and goes to the top of the graph.]
add a comment! ⋅ add a topic (use sparingly)! ⋅ 
refresh comments!Discussion
The comic title "The Data So Far" could also be a reference to the television program "Supernatural" which uses the phrase "The Road So Far" to recap plot points. 203.4.183.34 (talk) (please sign your comments with ~~~~)
- But is more likely a general reference to the use of "The Story So Far" in literally Graham's number of places. 108.162.219.223 21:17, 3 January 2014 (UTC)
Supernatural powers are, specifically, not evidence-based. If they were, they would be measured, quantified, and our understanding of the physical universe updated to account for them. They would then be simply described as "natural." For example, the power to hypnotize may appear "super," but the phenomena is sufficiently supported by evidence that it can be quantified, studied, and reproduced. It is thus treated as a "natural" rather than "supernatural." Power. Mountain Hikes (talk) 00:00, 18 October 2015 (UTC)
- I disagree with the statement that hypnosis is a "power". It is no more a power than reiki or homeopathy. Also, there is no actual evidence for hypnosis beyond anecdotal, same as reiki and homeopathy! -- The Cat Lady (talk) 14:45, 14 August 2021 (UTC)
- The placebo effect is an interesting case, because although the phenomenon has mountains of evidence backing it, the mechanics behind how it works have eluded our understanding for a very long time. It almost feels appropriate to list it as a confirmed supernatural power... almost. 172.70.126.194 04:11, 4 December 2024 (UTC)
As I write this in August 2021, the explanation says, "In this case, the two other comics mentioned have no relation to this comic." However, no other comics are actually referenced? Nitpicking (talk) 14:09, 24 August 2021 (UTC)
