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Latest revision as of 19:52, 31 July 2025

Welcome to the explain xkcd wiki!
We have an explanation for all 3269 xkcd comics, and only 46 (1.4%) are incomplete. Help us finish them!

 Go to this explanation

Latest comic

Messi
Commentators agree that this will probably be the last World Cup in which Messi faces serious competition.
Title text: Commentators agree that this will probably be the last World Cup in which Messi faces serious competition.

Explanation

In the vein of 605: Extrapolating, this comic utilizes the incorrect application of extrapolation to humorous ends, in this case what appears to be polynomial extrapolation. Extrapolation is a form of estimation in which new data points are estimated from existing ones using some method. In this case, Randall appears to have smoothed discrete data points regarding soccer superstar Lionel Messi's average goals per World Cup game into a grey curve.

This method only works if there is a relationship to model - however, in this case, there isn't. All of the World Cup matches exept 2026 have varying amounts of goals scored, going down significantly on 2010 & 2018. Thus this extrapolation is entirely based on the 2026 stats, ignoring the other quite low goals per game.

The title text says that this World Cup is the last one in which Messi will face serious competition. This is true, but only because this is almost certainly Messi's last World Cup period.

Transcript

[A graph is shown, with 1 axis having the numbers 1, 2, & 3 going up it, and the other having 24 unlabelled marks. There are 6 points on the graph itself, with them being labelled 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022, and 2026, the latter having '(so far)' under it. There is a grey dotted curve going up in a curved fashion.]
[Title of graph:]Lionel Messi [new line] world cup points per game.
[Caption below text:]At this rate, by 2040 Lionel Messi will be scoring hundreds of goals per game.


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Lots of people contribute to make this wiki a success. Many of the recent contributors above have just joined. You can do it too! Create your account here.

You can read a brief introduction about this wiki at explain xkcd. Feel free to create an account and contribute to the wiki! We need explanations for xkcd comics, characters, What If? articles, and everything in between. If it is referenced in an xkcd comic, it should be here.

  • The incomplete explanations are listed here. Feel free to help out by expanding them!

Rules

Don't be a jerk!

There are a lot of comics that don't have set-in-stone explanations; feel free to put multiple interpretations in the wiki page for each comic.

If you want to talk about a specific comic, use its discussion page.

Please only submit material directly related to xkcd and, of course, only submit material that can legally be posted and freely edited. Off-topic or other inappropriate content is subject to removal or modification at admin discretion, and users who repeatedly post such content will be blocked.

If you need assistance from an admin, post a message to the Admin requests board.